Prediction of Katarina Zavatska vs Haruka Kaji at W35 Kunshan 10-09-25

• Haruka Kaji's second serve success rate is slightly lower at 39.36%, compared to Katarina Zavatska's 40.11%. Could this influence the match outcome? Yes, as such a statistic often helps predict match winners.
• In terms of return game, Zavatska edges out Kaji on second serve return points, winning 53.18% versus Kaji's 52.86%. She also leads in first serve return with 38.65% over 36.89%.
• When facing breakpoints, Kaji excels by saving 46.45% of them, superior to Zavatska's 42.34%, an important factor in high-pressure moments.
• Over the past year, Kaji's win rate stands slightly above Zavatska's at 54.41% compared to 52.38%.
• Surface preference could play a pivotal role; Kaji performs best on indoor hard courts (56% win rate), while Zavatska shines on clay (56% win rate).
• Both players mainly compete in Challengers/ITF events over $10K, with Kaji winning 57.81% of such matches, slightly ahead of Zavatska’s 53.85%.
• In opponent quality, Zavatska often faces tougher competition, with an average opponent rank of 276.95, compared to Kaji's 370.57.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Zavatska has the upper hand, winning 62% of deciding sets compared to Kaji's 50%.

Editorial Prediction (October 8, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Haruka Kaji and Katarina Zavatska appears well-balanced with each player showcasing distinct strengths. Zavatska's slight edge in second serve performance and superior statistics in returning games could weigh in her favor.

Additionally, her experience against higher-ranked opponents and higher success rate in deciding sets suggest she is well-prepared for competitive encounters. Although Kaji demonstrates resilience under pressure by saving a higher percentage of breakpoints, the overall data points slightly towards Zavatska.

Considering both players' overall form, surface preferences, and head-to-head metrics, Katarina Zavatska is expected to be the more likely winner in this match-up.